Prospective follow-up record

What happened after tracking began?

We record an Evidence Lab grade when a strategy version first qualifies for Marketplace publication or when an active Paper bot has a completed matching report. We then compare it with later closed trades from that exact version. The two start points and Paper/LIVE results stay separate.

Forward outcomes by grade

Data checked 4 November 2026 · descriptive record, not a forecast

There are not yet enough eligible prospective records to show a grade group. This means the display threshold has not been met; it is not evidence for or against any grade.

What qualifies for display

Marketplace cohorts start at first publication. Paper tracking cohorts start when a versioned Paper bot is active and a matching complete Evidence report exists. Already-active bots with a completed matching report are enrolled at the migration date; if the report completes later, tracking starts then. Only trades opened after the saved start time count for that exact version. Each version needs at least five recorded trades, and a public group needs at least five bots across at least three owners. Earlier trades, demo executions, and other versions are excluded.

How to read this record

The percentage is the share of eligible versions whose cumulative recorded realised P&L is above zero. It is not a return, risk-adjusted result, controlled study, or proof that a grade predicts outcomes. Paper and LIVE are not pooled, and the observed sample may be affected by who chose to publish and keep trading.

Historical results do not guarantee future performance. LIVE trading can lose money. A grade is a research summary, not permission to trade.